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Yamaichi Real Estate Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3,205.00

decreased by 592.49

1 Week

3,126.96

decreased by 670.53

1 Month

2,493.16

decreased by 1,304.33

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:40 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Yamaichi Real Estate Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 20, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.87*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1491
13.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8427
119.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0166
0.77

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days