V-Lab
Yamaichi Real Estate Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
3,336.20
1 Week
3,353.89
1 Month
2,422.72
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:40 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 20, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2263 | 3.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7539 | 46.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2263 | -2.39** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.9607 | 7.13*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9914 | 193.29*** |
Persistence:
0.867
Half-life:
5 days
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