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Bull-Dog Sauce Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

145.44

decreased by 12.20

1 Week

162.08

increased by 4.44

1 Month

184.92

increased by 27.28

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:54 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bull-Dog Sauce Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 174 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4417
5.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1020
12.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8941
105.00***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0108
-6.46***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

174 days