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Bull-Dog Sauce Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

188.22

decreased by 11.03

1 Week

203.08

increased by 3.83

1 Month

222.33

increased by 23.08

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:52 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bull-Dog Sauce Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6392
15.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0841
30.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9152
648.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0015
0.36

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days