V-Lab
Bull-Dog Sauce Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
161.42
1 Week
178.90
1 Month
202.98
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1025 | 1.69* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8910 | 508.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1025 | -0.85 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7697 | 13.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2303 | 0.57 |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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