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La Kaffa International Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

8,827.04

increased by 5,888.32

1 Week

4,307.89

increased by 1,369.17

1 Month

4,232.45

increased by 1,293.73

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 11:44 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of La Kaffa International Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2012 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.7776
2.03**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2793
5.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6726
12.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ11.3973
2.20**
γ2-1.4750
-1.62
γ3-0.0340
-0.07
γ40.7772
2.59***
γ5-1.4980
-6.06***
γ61.8900
8.86***
γ7-2.0236
-6.98***

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days