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La Kaffa International Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

4,103.32

increased by 318.93

1 Week

3,839.76

increased by 55.37

1 Month

3,675.91

decreased by 108.48

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 11:43 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of La Kaffa International Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2012 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2207 trading days (~8.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 251% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0211
8.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9521
256.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0530
6.47***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2207 days