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La Kaffa International Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

7,471.36

increased by 4,388.59

1 Week

4,115.00

increased by 1,032.23

1 Month

4,279.21

increased by 1,196.44

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 11:43 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of La Kaffa International Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2012 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2107
1.58
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8013
38.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0479
-0.21
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6979
1.85*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.03
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9960
2,490.10***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days