V-Lab
Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
8,183.40
increased by 472.04
1 Week
8,136.49
increased by 425.13
1 Month
12,683.11
increased by 4,971.75
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3556 | 6.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2782 | 2.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5006 | 3.41*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.7614 | -0.20 |
Persistence:
0.779
Half-life:
3 days
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