Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
10,895.92
decreased by 4,378.83
1 Week
12,110.65
decreased by 3,164.10
1 Month
13,414.34
decreased by 1,860.41
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3817 | 5.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2765 | 2.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5136 | 3.49*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.8218 | 0.18 |
Persistence:
0.790
Half-life:
3 days
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