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V-Lab

Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

8,183.40

increased by 472.04

1 Week

8,136.49

increased by 425.13

1 Month

12,683.11

increased by 4,971.75

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3556
6.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2782
2.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5006
3.41***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.7614
-0.20

Persistence:

0.779

Half-life:

3 days