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Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

7,874.55

decreased by 395.02

1 Week

9,098.17

increased by 828.60

1 Month

10,086.68

increased by 1,817.11

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0864
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8605
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0606
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0100
72.78***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2074
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7499

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days