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V-Lab

ETHK Labs Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

144,608.40

increased by 25,397.70

1 Week

137,928.38

increased by 18,717.68

1 Month

156,814.02

increased by 37,603.32

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of ETHK Labs Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 562 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9600
4.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1986
6.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8001
25.48***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ11.5734
0.38
γ2-5.4160
-0.86
γ35.0343
0.81
γ44.2892
0.46
γ5-1.5054
-0.13
γ6-19.5850
-1.34
γ733.3579
2.72***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

562 days