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V-Lab

ETHK Labs Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

120,408.10

decreased by 45,952.70

1 Week

185,040.08

increased by 18,679.28

1 Month

182,050.82

increased by 15,690.02

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of ETHK Labs Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4037
2.08**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2567
7.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7226
16.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ14.0381
1.57
γ2-5.1620
-1.37
γ31.9473
0.74
γ4-2.7712
-1.03
γ59.5408
3.26***
γ6-18.3081
-5.13***
γ720.3069
4.35***
γ8-33.9209
-3.95***
γ966.4246
5.32***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days