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V-Lab

ETHK Labs Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

1,119,106.00

decreased by 152,697.00

1 Week

1,060,116.14

decreased by 211,686.86

1 Month

468,022.98

decreased by 803,780.02

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of ETHK Labs Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 524 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9438
4.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2041
6.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7946
24.84***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ11.5445
0.38
γ2-5.6677
-0.91
γ35.4774
0.84
γ44.2802
0.44
γ5-1.1402
-0.09
γ6-20.9345
-1.48
γ737.5818
3.03***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

524 days