V-Lab
ETHK Labs Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
459,886.00
decreased by 44,213.10
1 Week
428,969.56
decreased by 75,129.54
1 Month
179,611.04
decreased by 324,488.06
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.21 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1246 | 9.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8521 | 267.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0467 | 1.87* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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