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V-Lab

ETHK Labs Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

820,339.60

decreased by 114,340.90

1 Week

825,050.70

decreased by 109,629.80

1 Month

297,110.52

decreased by 637,569.98

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of ETHK Labs Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2515
0.07
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8149
59.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1428
-0.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3502
0.07
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0153
0.06

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days