ETHK Labs Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
82,693.54
1 Week
123,190.81
1 Month
132,948.10
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2555 | 0.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8107 | 111.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2157 | -0.10 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.33 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9683 | 39.76*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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