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V-Lab

Manabi AID Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

13,764.96

decreased by 893.58

1 Week

14,796.84

increased by 138.30

1 Month

24,289.90

increased by 9,631.36

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Manabi AID Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 28, 2024 to Aug 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2285
5.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2598
3.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3931
2.14**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-3.6134
-1.29
γ2-1.3006
-0.29
γ313.8472
4.07***
γ4-18.7071
-4.29***

Persistence:

0.653

Half-life:

2 days