Skip to main content
V-Lab

Manabi AID Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

17,242.05

increased by 3,572.87

1 Week

13,720.86

increased by 51.68

1 Month

15,510.40

increased by 1,841.22

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Manabi AID Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 28, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2281
5.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2609
3.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4008
2.27**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-3.9280
-1.45
γ2-0.5450
-0.13
γ313.3248
3.98***
γ4-20.2332
-4.99***

Persistence:

0.662

Half-life:

2 days