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V-Lab

Hokkaidenko Corporation Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

1,347.98

decreased by 19.90

1 Week

1,397.98

increased by 30.10

1 Month

1,231.49

decreased by 136.39

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hokkaidenko Corporation ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2862
2.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0558
4.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9087
51.59***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3251
-3.41***
γ20.3304
2.74***
γ30.0978
1.93*
γ4-0.2765
-5.66***
γ50.1790
2.50**

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days