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V-Lab

Hokkaidenko Corporation Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

1,093.71

decreased by 58.25

1 Week

1,143.08

decreased by 8.88

1 Month

1,367.58

increased by 215.62

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hokkaidenko Corporation ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2862
2.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0559
4.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9087
51.65***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3256
-3.39***
γ20.3293
2.71***
γ30.1006
1.97**
γ4-0.2746
-5.53***
γ50.1634
2.20**

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days