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Hokkaidenko Corporation Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

1,590.73

decreased by 19.59

1 Week

1,629.21

increased by 18.89

1 Month

1,575.82

decreased by 34.50

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 10:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hokkaidenko Corporation ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0397
16.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9623
714.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0040
-0.93

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-