Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Hokkaidenko Corporation Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 25th, 2026

1 Day

1,538.70

decreased by 54.86

1 Week

1,566.13

decreased by 27.43

1 Month

1,697.19

increased by 103.63

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hokkaidenko Corporation ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 1993 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.10
αARCH0.0394
4.24***
βGARCH0.9624
179.73***
γleverage-0.0036
-0.23

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0394
4.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9624
179.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0036
-0.23

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-