V-Lab
Hokkaidenko Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
1,363.73
1 Week
1,412.83
1 Month
1,642.92
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 29, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0619 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8922 | 3.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0619 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0930 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9070 | 0.62 |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
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