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Taiyo Kisokogyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

6,644.28

increased by 3,512.39

1 Week

4,218.84

increased by 1,086.95

1 Month

4,354.57

increased by 1,222.68

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taiyo Kisokogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1998 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7944
7.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0964
8.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8909
70.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0051
-1.81*

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days