V-Lab
Taiyo Kisokogyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
6,644.28
increased by 3,512.39
1 Week
4,218.84
increased by 1,086.95
1 Month
4,354.57
increased by 1,222.68
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1998 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7944 | 7.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0964 | 8.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8909 | 70.88*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0051 | -1.81* |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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