V-Lab
Taiyo Kisokogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
9,191.05
1 Week
5,083.27
1 Month
4,788.37
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1998 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1485 | 8.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7137 | 17.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1485 | -5.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.84 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0803 | 4.85*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9197 | 55.57*** |
Persistence:
0.788
Half-life:
3 days
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