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V-Lab

Litu Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

4,055,028.00

increased by 496,503.00

1 Week

3,981,292.67

increased by 422,767.67

1 Month

8,748,126.60

increased by 5,189,601.60

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Litu Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 30, 2009 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 195 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8905
2.43**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2200
5.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7764
19.17***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-8.9911
-3.70***
γ215.4154
3.69***
γ3-9.8458
-4.04***
γ44.8638
5.15***
γ5-1.4131
-1.65*
γ6-1.0028
-1.15
γ72.3160
2.64***
γ8-2.7471
-2.23**
γ92.7050
1.55

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

195 days