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Litu Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

5,523,444.00

decreased by 1,152,332.00

1 Week

6,099,610.00

decreased by 576,166.00

1 Month

6,075,814.50

decreased by 599,961.50

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Litu Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 30, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 248 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3101
26.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7838
180.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1934
-11.53***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10,695,799.4021

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

248 days