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V-Lab

DB Insurance Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

0.50

decreased by 0.06

1 Week

0.59

increased by 0.03

1 Month

0.68

increased by 0.12

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of DB Insurance Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 23 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.5013
4.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1278
9.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8423
49.47***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.2410
-5.43***
γ20.4131
5.58***
γ3-0.2435
-4.81***
γ40.1367
4.40***
γ5-0.0984
-4.82***
γ60.0627
3.56***
γ7-0.0901
-3.75***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days