DB Insurance Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
0.54
1 Week
0.62
1 Month
0.70
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1673 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4112 | 2.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1640 | -0.04 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0259 | 0.25 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6796 | 0.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3204 | 0.14 |
Persistence:
0.496
Half-life:
1 days
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