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Fujian SBS Zipper Science & Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 3rd, 2026

1 Day

445.19

decreased by 126.54

1 Week

557.23

decreased by 14.50

1 Month

523.92

decreased by 47.81

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fujian SBS Zipper Science & Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 2006 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77016 trading days (~305.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5758
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3585
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6415
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-3.4585
-0.02
γ25.1169
0.01
γ3-8.9459
0.00
γ421.1420
0.00
γ5-28.1112
0.00
γ625.9732
0.00
γ7-16.8949
0.00
γ85.4886
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

77016 days