Fujian SBS Zipper Science & Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
1,496.72
1 Week
1,536.68
1 Month
1,376.29
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 22, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3624 | 0.28 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6286 | 83.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3624 | -0.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.7340 | 0.42 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9940 | 48.35*** |
Persistence:
0.810
Half-life:
3 days
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