V-Lab
Fujian SBS Zipper Science & Technology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
455.45
1 Week
501.32
1 Month
504.01
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 22, 2006 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.10 |
| αARCH | 0.9255 | 0.51 |
| βGARCH | 0.3585 | 0.44 |
| γleverage | -0.5680 | -0.47 |
1.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.10 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.9255 | 0.51 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3585 | 0.44 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5680 | -0.47 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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