V-Lab
Fujian SBS Zipper Science & Technology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 3rd, 2026
1 Day
386.25
decreased by 170.71
1 Week
735.02
increased by 178.06
1 Month
583.49
increased by 26.53
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 22, 2006 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.10 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.9264 | 0.51 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3582 | 0.44 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5692 | -0.47 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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