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Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

86.72

decreased by 14.26

1 Week

102.41

increased by 1.43

1 Month

87.34

decreased by 13.64

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 1997 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 60 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5805
3.05***
αARCH0.1823
17.29***
βGARCH0.8063
71.51***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0231
-2.90***
γ20.0410
3.08***

0.989

Persistence

60d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5805
3.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1823
17.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8063
71.51***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0231
-2.90***
γ20.0410
3.08***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days