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Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

79.68

decreased by 11.66

1 Week

75.09

decreased by 16.25

1 Month

59.60

decreased by 31.74

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 07:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 60 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5797
3.03***
αARCH0.1825
17.28***
βGARCH0.8061
71.36***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0232
-2.90***
γ20.0410
3.08***

0.989

Persistence

60d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5797
3.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1825
17.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8061
71.36***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0232
-2.90***
γ20.0410
3.08***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days