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Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

84.25

decreased by 3.82

1 Week

77.68

decreased by 10.39

1 Month

68.77

decreased by 19.30

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.95
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1429
7.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8110
133.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0922
2.87***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-