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Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

107.94

decreased by 6.12

1 Week

121.36

increased by 7.30

1 Month

105.75

decreased by 8.31

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 1997 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 81 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 361% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~81 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 361% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4473
0.95
αARCH0.0310
1.63
βGARCH0.9044
51.29***
γleverage0.1120
6.83***

0.991

Persistence

81d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4473
0.95
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0310
1.63
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9044
51.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1120
6.83***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

81 days