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Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

96.71

decreased by 4.23

1 Week

87.78

decreased by 13.16

1 Month

76.59

decreased by 24.35

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 81 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 362% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~81 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 362% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4865
0.96
αARCH0.0311
1.64
βGARCH0.9040
51.40***
γleverage0.1125
6.85***

0.991

Persistence

81d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4865
0.96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0311
1.64
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9040
51.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1125
6.85***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

81 days