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Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

43.77

increased by 15.83

1 Week

29.39

increased by 1.45

1 Month

48.39

increased by 20.45

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 838 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2261
5.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7702
195.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0058
0.08
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9993
1,247.57***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

838 days