Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
80.90
1 Week
95.77
1 Month
81.31
Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 1997 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.1736 | 13.75*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8096 | 60.73*** |
| γleverage | -0.1736 | -1.10 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0013 | 0.12 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9993 | 79.84*** |
0.896
Persistence6d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1736 | 13.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8096 | 60.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1736 | -1.10 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0013 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9993 | 79.84*** |
Persistence:
0.896
Half-life:
6 days
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