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Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

45.28

increased by 9.79

1 Week

39.22

increased by 3.73

1 Month

49.41

increased by 13.92

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 1997 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 833 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~833 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.2260
15.45***
βGARCH0.7702
113.37***
γleverage0.0059
0.22
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9993
106.14***

0.999

Persistence

833d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2260
15.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7702
113.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0059
0.22
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9993
106.14***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

833 days