V-Lab
Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
43.77
1 Week
29.39
1 Month
48.39
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 838 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2261 | 5.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7702 | 195.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0058 | 0.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9993 | 1,247.57*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
838 days
Other Jinneng Holding Shanxi Electric Power Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities