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V-Lab

Changhong Meiling Company Co., Ltd. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

347.73

increased by 61.74

1 Week

278.64

decreased by 7.35

1 Month

276.09

decreased by 9.90

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Changhong Meiling Company Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 18, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1754 trading days (~7.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9366
4.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2161
21.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7835
79.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.1258
-3.03***
γ20.4014
5.97***
γ3-0.6279
-12.35***
γ40.5908
12.34***
γ5-0.3637
-6.56***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1754 days