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Changhong Meiling Company Co., Ltd. Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

396.29

increased by 73.03

1 Week

330.71

increased by 7.45

1 Month

328.83

increased by 5.57

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Changhong Meiling Company Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 18, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8645
4.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1392
10.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8166
311.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0885
3.43***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days