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Changhong Meiling Company Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

360.05

increased by 58.37

1 Week

294.30

decreased by 7.38

1 Month

297.24

decreased by 4.44

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Changhong Meiling Company Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 18, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2243 trading days (~8.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2057
15.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8029
153.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0178
-0.53
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0024
9.75***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9970
4,863.36***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2243 days