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V-Lab

Borsa Istanbul 100 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

21.96%

increased by 1.38%

1 Week

22.70%

increased by 2.12%

1 Month

24.78%

increased by 4.20%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 03:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 43% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1611
33.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2116
30.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6950
161.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0911
8.32***

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days