V-Lab
Borsa Istanbul 100 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
21.96%
increased by 1.38%
1 Week
22.70%
increased by 2.12%
1 Month
24.78%
increased by 4.20%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 03:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 43% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1611 | 33.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2116 | 30.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6950 | 161.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0911 | 8.32*** |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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