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{name} Model Equation

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Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.0005	1.03
αARCH	0.0838	6.39***
βGARCH	0.9356	80.14***
γleverage	-0.0388	-1.57

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.0005	1.03
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0838	6.39***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9356	80.14***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0388	-1.57

V-Lab

US Dollar to Turkish New Lira GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other US Dollar to Turkish New Lira Analyses