Skip to main content
V-Lab

Ishares Large CAP ACC OT ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

10.12%

decreased by 0.88%

1 Week

11.84%

increased by 0.84%

1 Month

24.29%

increased by 13.29%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Large CAP ACC OT ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1711 trading days (~6.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0208
2.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7720
108.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4137
65.34***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.56
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6354
1.24
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1711 days