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V-Lab

SP Funds S&P Global Tech ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.16%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Week

25.39%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

26.00%

increased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of SP Funds S&P Global Tech ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1832
7.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0019
0.23
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8692
71.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1315
4.53***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days