V-Lab
SP Funds S&P Global Tech ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
25.16%
decreased by 0.82%
1 Week
25.39%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Month
26.00%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 1, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1832 | 7.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0019 | 0.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8692 | 71.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1315 | 4.53*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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