CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index

CBOE 1-Day Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	41
αARCH	0.0717	6.59***
βGARCH	0.8994	51.92***
γleverage	-0.0151	-0.91
λ₁tau intercept	0.0363	1.30
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0485	1.15
λ₃tau persistence	0.9354	17.68***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	41
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0717	6.59***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8994	51.92***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0151	-0.91
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0363	1.30
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0485	1.15
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9354	17.68***

V-Lab

CBOT Soybeans MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other CBOT Soybeans Analyses