Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Sonali Life Insurance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026

1 Day

25.57%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

26.73%

increased by 0.93%

1 Month

29.44%

increased by 3.64%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sonali Life Insurance Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 2021 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow76
αARCH0.0749
3.76***
βGARCH0.8569
32.75***
γleverage-0.0060
-0.19
λ₁tau intercept1.0930
0.95
λ₂forecast adj.0.2337
0.91
λ₃tau persistence0.5593
1.25

0.929

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0749
3.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8569
32.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0060
-0.19
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.0930
0.95
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2337
0.91
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5593
1.25

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days