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Renatus Tactical Acqu Corp I Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

3.21%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

3.32%

increased by 0.34%

1 Month

3.37%

increased by 0.39%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Renatus Tactical Acqu Corp I S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5731
2.52**
αARCH0.2003
2.77***
βGARCH0.2840
1.35
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-52.0379
-2.97***
γ285.2965
3.14***
γ3-75.6973
-3.36***
γ492.5365
4.10***
γ5-81.8330
-3.16***
γ646.0125
2.52**

0.484

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5731
2.52**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2003
2.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2840
1.35
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-52.0379
-2.97***
γ285.2965
3.14***
γ3-75.6973
-3.36***
γ492.5365
4.10***
γ5-81.8330
-3.16***
γ646.0125
2.52**

Persistence:

0.484

Half-life:

1 days