Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Renatus Tactical Acqu Corp I AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

8.78%

increased by 6.31%

1 Week

8.80%

increased by 6.33%

1 Month

8.86%

increased by 6.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Renatus Tactical Acqu Corp I AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 87 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~87 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0000
0.00
αARCH0.1521
2.69***
βGARCH0.8400
19.20***
γleverage-0.1396
-0.66

0.992

Persistence

87d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1521
2.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8400
19.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1396
-0.66

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

87 days