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Renatus Tactical Acqu Corp I Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

1.88%

increased by 0.47%

1 Week

1.60%

increased by 0.19%

1 Month

1.46%

increased by 0.05%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Renatus Tactical Acqu Corp I SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.1475
2.56**
αARCH0.2129
2.82***
βGARCH0.2731
1.47
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ17.1032
0.73
γ2-18.4530
-1.32
γ332.0399
3.70***
γ4-51.4682
-3.45***

0.486

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.1475
2.56**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2129
2.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2731
1.47
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ17.1032
0.73
γ2-18.4530
-1.32
γ332.0399
3.70***
γ4-51.4682
-3.45***

Persistence:

0.486

Half-life:

1 days