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V-Lab

Renatus Tactical Acqu Corp I EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

2.96%

increased by 0.21%

1 Week

2.93%

increased by 0.18%

1 Month

2.80%

increased by 0.05%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Renatus Tactical Acqu Corp I EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 223 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~223 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0226
-0.22
αARCH-0.0859
-0.38
βGARCH0.9969
93.12***
γleverage0.1671
0.24

0.997

Persistence

223d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0226
-0.22
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.0859
-0.38
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9969
93.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1671
0.24

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

223 days