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V-Lab

RMA Global Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

487.53%

decreased by 92.99%

1 Week

474.44%

decreased by 106.08%

1 Month

437.63%

decreased by 142.89%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of RMA Global Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.03 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

530.9944
2.02**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1033
11.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9353
24.40***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0341
176.80***

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days