V-Lab
RMA Global Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
86.99%
decreased by 7.37%
1 Week
86.70%
decreased by 7.66%
1 Month
86.27%
decreased by 8.09%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 54% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 10.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0957 | 6.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7082 | 29.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0514 | 2.03** |
Persistence:
0.830
Half-life:
4 days
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