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V-Lab

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

54.43%

decreased by 1.75%

1 Week

55.48%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Month

57.21%

increased by 1.03%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 120% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9888
12.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0468
6.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7784
54.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0560
4.82***

Persistence:

0.853

Half-life:

4 days