Skip to main content
V-Lab

Tradr 2X Long Innovation 100 Quarterly ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

47.42%

increased by 0.18%

1 Week

46.62%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

45.92%

decreased by 1.32%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Long Innovation 100 Quarterly ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7555
31.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1000
8.61***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1146
0.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0838
0.78
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9162
2.67***

Persistence:

0.806

Half-life:

3 days