V-Lab
Tradr 2X Long Innovation 100 Quarterly ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
47.42%
increased by 0.18%
1 Week
46.62%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Month
45.92%
decreased by 1.32%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7555 | 31.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1000 | 8.61*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1146 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0838 | 0.78 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9162 | 2.67*** |
Persistence:
0.806
Half-life:
3 days
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