V-Lab
Tradr 2X Long Innovation 100 Quarterly ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
49.38%
increased by 0.54%
1 Week
48.41%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Month
45.68%
decreased by 3.16%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4037 | 5.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8497 | 44.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1758 | 3.53*** |
Persistence:
0.938
Half-life:
11 days
Other Tradr 2X Long Innovation 100 Quarterly ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs