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V-Lab

Global X Nasdaq-100 Cove ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

16.35%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Week

16.55%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

17.18%

increased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Global X Nasdaq-100 Cove ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0155
2.46**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8710
152.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1191
16.34***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2312
0.51
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7571
0.53
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

12 days