V-Lab
Global X Nasdaq-100 Cove ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
16.35%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Week
16.55%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
17.18%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0155 | 2.46** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8710 | 152.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1191 | 16.34*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2312 | 0.51 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7571 | 0.53 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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