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V-Lab

Prescient Therapeutics Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

133.03%

decreased by 11.89%

1 Week

125.63%

decreased by 19.29%

1 Month

112.18%

decreased by 32.74%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Prescient Therapeutics Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 360% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1369
21.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7552
55.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1071
-13.43***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.8440
0.90
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2265
0.99
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6755
2.03**

Persistence:

0.839

Half-life:

4 days