V-Lab
Prescient Therapeutics Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
133.03%
1 Week
125.63%
1 Month
112.18%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 28, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 360% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1369 | 21.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7552 | 55.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1071 | -13.43*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.8440 | 0.90 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2265 | 0.99 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6755 | 2.03** |
Persistence:
0.839
Half-life:
4 days
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