V-Lab
Prescient Therapeutics Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
123.84%
decreased by 11.96%
1 Week
122.15%
decreased by 13.65%
1 Month
117.33%
decreased by 18.47%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 28, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.50 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 45.6100 | 12.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0967 | 29.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9429 | 230.15*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.4978 | 17.24*** |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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